SPC MD 2236

MD 2236 CONCERNING HEAVY SNOW FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
        

Mesoscale Discussion 2236
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1100 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

Areas affected...Northern Lower Michigan

Concerning...Heavy snow 

Valid 271700Z - 272200Z

SUMMARY...Snowfall rates of 1-2 inch per hour remain possible
through mid/late afternoon.

DISCUSSION...A dominant snow band off of Lake Michigan, with
upstream connection to Lake Superior, continues early this afternoon
in northern Lower Michigan. Dual-pol data from KAPX shows higher KDP
values within this band suggesting 1-2 inch per hour snowfall rates
are possible. Given limited change in the large-scale environment
over the next few hours, this band is expected to persist through
the afternoon. High-resolution ensemble guidance suggests this as
well. The most intense snowfall rates will likely being to wane by
late afternoon as mid-level ascent from a shortwave trough moves
away from the region. As this occurs, there may be a slight
southward wobble in the band as 850-700 mb winds subtly take on a
more northerly component.

..Wendt.. 11/27/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...APX...

LAT...LON   44358438 44878534 45088560 45208556 45458547 44668384
            44298383 44358438 


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