SPC MD 184

MD 0184 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 30... FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALABAMA INTO WESTERN GEORGIA

Mesoscale Discussion 0184
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0843 PM CDT Mon Mar 09 2026

Areas affected...portions of central and eastern Alabama into
western Georgia

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 30...

Valid 100143Z - 100315Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 30
continues.

SUMMARY...An MCS will continue to move east/southward across AL/GA
this evening with a risk for damaging gusts.

DISCUSSION...As of 0140 UTC, regional radar imagery showed an
initially loosely organized cluster of thunderstorms had developed
into an MCS across portions of AL and western GA. The environment
remains broadly unstable and moderately sheared across much of the
southeast, which should continue to maintain organized bowing
segments and supercells.

While not overly intense, more organization has been noted within
the MCS over the last two hours, suggesting a consolidated cold pool
and stronger surface pressure gradient has developed. This will
support the potential for damaging gusts (max 60-65 mph), and
possibly a QLCS tornado or two as the convective complex continues
east/southeastward into parts of eastern AL and west-central GA
(including the Atlanta Metro in 1-2 hours) this evening.

Additional strong thunderstorms, including a few supercells, will
remain possible on the upshear side of the complex over central AL.
Additional upscale growth appears likely with time. This would favor
damaging gusts and some hail potential with the stronger supercells.
Given the persistent severe threat, WW30 remains in effect until
0300 UTC, but may be locally extended in time and area as convection
continues to move through AL/GA.

..Lyons.. 03/10/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...BMX...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON   34548528 34338435 33108356 32398385 32198451 32078551
            32398683 32608746 32868798 33158829 33328844 33568842
            33788823 33818743 33838667 33938607 34128578 34548528 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN

SPC MD 183

MD 0183 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI INTO FAR EASTERN LOUISIANA

Mesoscale Discussion 0183
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0642 PM CDT Mon Mar 09 2026

Areas affected...southern Mississippi into far eastern Louisiana

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 092342Z - 100145Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A storm or two may persist this evening in the short term.
Coverage and longevity of severe potential is not expected to
warrant a watch.

DISCUSSION...Daytime heating and upper 60s F dewpoints have led to
moderate instability over the northern Gulf Coast area with MUCAPE
around 2000 J/kg. While the primary lift is with the wave moving
across northern AL, scattered storms persist extending southwestward
across much of MS and into eastern LA.

The VWP from HDC shows veering winds with height, with 35-40 kt
effective shear, as well as 0-1 km SRH near 100 m2/s2. Given the
uncapped air mass and favorably shaped hodograph, some cells have
exhibited supercell characteristics at times.

As the boundary layer begins to cool this evening, the number and
intensity of cells is expected to decrease. In the short term,
localized hail, a brief tornado or strong gusts cannot be ruled out.

..Jewell/Hart.. 03/09/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...

LAT...LON   30829104 31269068 31888982 32098872 31848813 31408798
            30768828 30578884 30539051 30829104 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN