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WESTERN NEW YORK FORECAST SUMMARY Forecast Discussion for BUF NWS Office
841 FXUS61 KBUF 161800 AFDBUF  Area Forecast Discussion National Weather
Service Buffalo NY 200 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026  .WHAT HAS CHANGED...  All
High Wind Warnings have been downgraded to Wind Advisories, with the Wind
Advisories extended through Tuesday morning.  The Winter Weather Advisory
has been upgraded to a Lake Effect Snow Warning east of Lake Ontario from
tonight through early Wednesday morning.  A Winter Weather Advisory has
been issued for the rest of the area. 

NWS BUF Office Area Forecast Discussion


Todays low barometer of 989.3 mb broke the yearly low of 993.8 mb set on 02/20/2026 by -4.5 mb
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METRIC | IMPERIAL
Weather Conditions Updated: @ 2:35pm  
Temperature Conditions/Real Time Wind Speed 36 Hour Forecast/WNY Expected Snowfall
Currently:

39.8°F

Trend:Colder 1.7°F than last hour. /hr
Wind Chill   33°F
Humidex   36.5°F
24 Hour +/- -14.6°FColder 14.6°F than yesterday at this time.
---
Today High
63.5°F
11:57 AM
Today Low
39.6°F
2:13 PM
Yest.High
58.1°F
3:55 PM
Yest.Low
24.2°F
12:00 AM
Last Year High
73.3°F
Last Year Low
39.7°F
Station Record High*
73.3°F
2025
Station Record Low*
13.3°F
2017
* This Station's Records Since 1/2010
Overcast Overcast

Wind from NW NW  
10.6
Gusting to:
15.0
Gentle Breeze
Current Rain Total Rainfall Today:
0.02 in
Chandler Burning Index: LOW Current CBI
Fire Danger:
-0.6 of 100
Today

Today: Rain Showers then Chance Sleet
Rain Showers then Chance Sleet
Tonight

Tonight: Snow Showers Likely And Patchy Blowing Snow
Snow Showers Likely And Patchy Blowing Snow
Tuesday

Tuesday: Patchy Blowing Snow
Patchy Blowing Snow
Hi 63 °F Lo 17 °F Hi 25 °F
WNY Expected Snowfall
 In New Tab
Dew Point Rainfall Rainfall Wind Sock Wind Sun/Moon
Current: Decreased 2°F since last hour. 34.4°F
Last Hour: Decreased 2°F since last hour. 2°F
High 11:55 AM: 57.5°F
Low 2:32 PM: 34.4°F
Record High: 82.4°F on
Jun-19-2024
Record Low: -24.5°F on
Jan-24-2011
Wetbulb: 37.7°F
Today: 0.02 in
Last 24 Hours: 0.02 in
Yesterday: 0.01 in
Previous 7 Days: 1.37 in
Mar Rain: 2.07 in
Mar to Date
  Average:10
0.93 in
Mar to Date
  +/- from Avg:10
Over 1.14 in for the month 1.14 in
Mar Avg: 2.11 in
+/- from Avg: Under 0.041 in for the month 0.04 in
2025 Total: 4.91 in
Year To Date
  Average:11
4.13 in
Year To Date
  +/- from Avg:11
Over 0.78 in for the year 0.78 in
Last Rain
Time/Date:
Mar-16-2026
at 1:29 PM
33 rain days in 2026
10 days in March
0 straight days without rain

rain graph

Current: NW  10.6 mph
Last 15 Min. Avg: 11.1 mph
Last 30 Min. Avg: 11.8 mph
Last 1 Hour Avg: 11.1 mph
Last 2 Hour Avg: 12.7 mph
Todays Wind Run: 125.45 miles
Wind Sock Wind Gust
Current: 15.0 mph
High Last Hour: 30.0 mph NW
Todays High: 31.1 mph 1:15 PM
March High: 43.0 mph Mar-14
2025 High: 43.0 mph Mar-14
Record Gust: 62.6 mph
Dec-25-2014
Sunlight:
11 hrs 57 min
49 sec
of Sunlight Today
Which is
2 min 58 sec longer than
yesterday
(Noon) graph (Midnight)

Waning Crescent
Waning Crescent, 27 days, 6 hours, 34 minutes in cycle
5%
Illuminated
HumidityHumidity/Feels Like barometerBarometer
Feels Like: 36.5°F
Humidity: Decreased 1% since last hour. 81%
Last Hour +/-: Decreased 1% since last hour. 1%
High 11:03 AM: 94%
Low 12:00 AM: 74%
Record High: 100%
Sep-4-2018
Record Low: 16%
May-10-2022
Current: Rising 0.5  mb/hr 993.6 mb
Last Hour: Rising slowly
High 12:00 AM: 1000.7
Low 11:46 AM: 989.3
Record High: 1048.1 mb
Dec-14-2024
Record Low: 978.7 mb
Jan-10-2024
Heating Degree Days Snow3 Wind Chill Air
Today: 5.6
Mar: 404.4
2026 to Date: 2868.3
Cooling Degree Days
2026 to Date: 0.0
Today: 0.00 in
Yesterday: 0.00 in
Mar Snow: Under 1.85 in for the month 0.00 in
Mar Avg: 1.85 in
Diff from Avg: -1.85 in
Season Total:2 17.30 in
Snow Depth: 0.00 in
0 snow days in March
3 snow days this season.2
First Snow of Season:
--
Average 1st Snow:
Current: 33.2°F
Low 2:18 PM: 30.1°F
Yesterday: 18.3°F
Record: -26.3°F
Feb-20-2015
Quality
Index6:

33


Good
Density:
1.24 kg/m3
UV Summary/Forecast Solar Summary
Mar-16

3.5
Mar-17

2.6
Mar-18

3.3
Sunrise is at: 7:24 am
Solar Noon: 13:23
Sunset is at: 7:22 pm
Almanac Cloud Height Station All Time Records Outlook
Currently: Afternoon
YTD Avg Temp: 26.5°F
Sunrise: 7:24 am
Sunset: 7:22 pm
Moonrise: 6:21 am
Moonset: 4:47 pm
Full Moon: Mar-03-2026
New Moon: 01:24 UTC
Mar-19-2026
Cloud Height: 1830 ft
HIGHS: LOWS:
97.7°F
Jul-10-2020
-18.9°F
Jan-24-2011
Daytime Records
  95.5°F
Jul-10-2020
  -1.1°F
Feb-15-2015
Nitetime Records
  80.1°F
Jul-08-2020
  -11.4°F
Jan-24-2014
ICN:18 | S3C2:1 | Ajax 3.xx
ISS:Ok |
Tonight

Tonight: Snow Showers Likely And Patchy Blowing Snow
Snow Showers Likely And Patchy Blowing Snow
1 .   2 Snow season July 1st to June 30th.   3 Snow is manually measured a few times a day as needed 0.01 = a trace .   6 Air Quality Index is provided by Minnesota Polution Control Agency and is updated between the hours of 6AM and Midnight.   10 Historical average only to day 16 of just the month of March for this station since 2010.   11 Historical average rain this season to day 16 of Marchfor this station since 2010.
 NWS Weather Forecast  -   Outlook Today & Tonight
Today

Today: Rain Showers then Chance Sleet
Rain Showers then Chance Sleet

Hi 63 °F
NWS forecast: Rain showers before 5pm, then a chance of sleet and a chance of rain showers. Cloudy. High near 63, with temperatures falling to around 35 in the afternoon. South wind 20 to 28 mph, with gusts as high as 48 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.
Tonight

Tonight: Snow Showers Likely And Patchy Blowing Snow
Snow Showers Likely And Patchy Blowing Snow

Lo 17 °F
NWS forecast: Snow showers before 9pm, then snow showers likely and patchy blowing snow between 9pm and 1am, then patchy blowing snow and a slight chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 17. Southwest wind around 25 mph, with gusts as high as 48 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.
 NWS Short Term Weather Forecast
Tuesday

Tuesday: Patchy Blowing Snow
Patchy Blowing Snow
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Slight Chance Snow Showers then Mostly Cloudy
Slight Chance Snow Showers then Mostly Cloudy
Wednesday

Wednesday: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Chance Snow Showers
Chance Snow Showers
Thursday

Thursday: Slight Chance Snow Showers then Chance Rain And Snow Showers
Slight Chance Snow Showers then Chance Rain And Snow Showers
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers
Friday

Friday: Chance Rain And Snow Showers
Chance Rain And Snow Showers
Hi 25 °F Lo 18 °F Hi 34 °F Lo 28 °F Hi 43 °F Lo 32 °F Hi 44 °F
Version 6.95b - 03-Apr-2019 - Script by: Scott of BurnsvilleWeatherLIVE.com
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