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WESTERN NEW YORK FORECAST SUMMARY Forecast Discussion for BUF NWS Office
229 FXUS61 KBUF 161729 AFDBUF  Area Forecast Discussion National Weather
Service Buffalo NY 129 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026  .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Freeze
Watch issued for counties where the growing season remains from late
Saturday night through early Sunday morning. 

NWS BUF Office Area Forecast Discussion


Todays low barometer of 1000.9 mb broke the monthly low of 1003.3 mb set on 10/13/2026 by -2.4 mb
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METRIC | IMPERIAL
Weather Conditions Updated: @ 5:39pm  
Temperature Conditions/Real Time Wind Speed 36 Hour Forecast/WNY Expected Snowfall
Currently:

51.6°F

Trend:Colder 1°F than last hour. /hr
Wind Chill   50°F
Humidex   53.7°F
24 Hour +/- -1.9°FColder 1.9°F than yesterday at this time.
---
Today High
67.9°F
6:29 AM
Today Low
51.6°F
5:36 PM
Yest.High
57.2°F
3:31 PM
Yest.Low
50.0°F
8:00 PM
Last Year High
56.3°F
Last Year Low
33.5°F
Station Record High*
74.8°F
2016
Station Record Low*
32.5°F
2020
* This Station's Records Since 1/2010
It is now Moderately drizzling It is now Moderately drizzling

Wind from N N  
4.4
Gusting to:
6.0
Light Breeze
Current Rain Total Rainfall Today:
0.40 in
Chandler Burning Index: LOW Current CBI
Fire Danger:
-1.7 of 100
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Light Rain Likely
Light Rain Likely
Tonight

Tonight: Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
Saturday

Saturday: Sunny
Sunny
Hi 69 °F Lo 36 °F Hi 48 °F
WNY Expected Snowfall
 In New Tab
Dew Point Rainfall Rainfall Wind Sock Wind Sun/Moon
Current: Decreased 1.9°F since last hour. 49.6°F
Last Hour: Decreased 1.9°F since last hour. 1.9°F
High 6:29 AM: 67.3°F
Low 12:00 AM: 48.7°F
Record High: 83.5°F on
Jul-1-2026
Record Low: -24.5°F on
Jan-24-2011
Wetbulb: 50.6°F
Today: 0.40 in
Rate (/hr): 0.016 in
Storm Rain: 0.40 in
Last 24 Hours: 0.40 in
Yesterday: 0.00 in
Previous 7 Days: 0.15 in
Oct Rain: 2.32 in
Oct to Date
  Average:10
1.97 in
Oct to Date
  +/- from Avg:10
Over 0.35 in for the month 0.35 in
Oct Avg: 4.20 in
+/- from Avg: Under 1.88 in for the month 1.88 in
2025 Total: 42.95 in
Year To Date
  Average:11
28.22 in
Year To Date
  +/- from Avg:11
Over 14.73 in for the year 14.73 in
147 rain days in 2026
9 days in October
0 straight days without rain

rain graph

Current: N  4.4 mph
Last 15 Min. Avg: 4.8 mph
Last 30 Min. Avg: 4.1 mph
Last 1 Hour Avg: 3.9 mph
Last 2 Hour Avg: 3.7 mph
Todays Wind Run: 75.90 miles
Wind Sock Wind Gust
Current: 6.0 mph
High Last Hour: 16.0 mph N
Todays High: 28.0 mph 12:55 PM
October High: 33.0 mph Oct-7
2025 High: 43.0 mph Mar-14
Record Gust: 62.6 mph
Dec-25-2014
Sunlight:
11 hrs 0 min
41 sec
of Sunlight Today
Which is
2 min 50 sec shorter than
yesterday
(Noon) graph (Midnight)

Waxing Crescent
Waxing Crescent, 6 days, 5 hours, 49 minutes in cycle
33%
Illuminated
HumidityHumidity/Feels Like barometerBarometer
Feels Like: 53.7°F
Humidity: Decreased 3% since last hour. 93%
Last Hour +/-: Decreased 3% since last hour. 3%
High 4:16 AM: 98%
Low 12:00 AM: 85%
Record High: 100%
Sep-4-2018
Record Low: 16%
May-10-2022
Current: Rising 1.5  mb/hr 1009.8 mb
Last Hour: Rising
High 5:37 PM: 1009.9
Low 7:51 AM: 1000.9
Record High: 1048.1 mb
Dec-14-2024
Record Low: 978.7 mb
Jan-10-2024
Heating Degree Days Snow3 Wind Chill Air
Today: 3.2
Oct: 129.3
2026 to Date: 4352.1
Cooling Degree Days
2026 to Date: 616.8
Today: 0.00 in
Yesterday: 0.00 in
Oct Snow: No Change 0.00 in
Oct Avg: 0.00 in
Diff from Avg: 0.00 in
Season Total:2 0.00 in
Snow Depth: 0.00 in
0 snow days in October
0 snow days this season.2
First Snow of Season:
--
Average 1st Snow:
Current: 50.5°F
Low 5:36 PM: 51.6°F
Yesterday: 47.3°F
Record: -26.3°F
Feb-20-2015
Quality
Index6:

19


Good
Density:
1.23 kg/m3
UV Summary/Forecast Solar Summary
Oct-16

4.1
Oct-17

2.9
Oct-18

3.2
Sunrise is at: 7:29 am
Solar Noon: 13:00
Sunset is at: 6:30 pm
Almanac Cloud Height Station All Time Records Outlook
Currently: Afternoon
YTD Avg Temp: 52.0°F
Sunrise: 7:29 am
Sunset: 6:30 pm
Moonrise: 1:42 pm
Moonset: 9:03 pm
Full Moon: Oct-26-2026
New Moon: 07:03 UTC
Nov-9-2026
Cloud Height: 1052 ft
HIGHS: LOWS:
97.7°F
Jul-10-2020
-18.9°F
Jan-24-2011
Daytime Records
  95.5°F
Jul-10-2020
  -1.1°F
Feb-15-2015
Nitetime Records
  80.2°F
Jul-01-2026
  -11.4°F
Jan-24-2014
ICN:21 | S3C2:1 | Ajax 3.xx
ISS:Ok |
Tonight

Tonight: Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
1 .   2 Snow season July 1st to June 30th.   3 Snow is manually measured a few times a day as needed 0.01 = a trace .   6 Air Quality Index is provided by Minnesota Polution Control Agency and is updated between the hours of 6AM and Midnight.   10 Historical average only to day 16 of just the month of October for this station since 2010.   11 Historical average rain this season to day 16 of Octoberfor this station since 2010.
 NWS Weather Forecast  -   Outlook This Afternoon & Tonight
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Light Rain Likely
Light Rain Likely

Hi 69 °F
NWS forecast: Rain likely. Cloudy. High near 69, with temperatures falling to around 56 in the afternoon. West wind around 18 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Tonight

Tonight: Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy

Lo 36 °F
NWS forecast: A chance of rain showers before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Northwest wind 13 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
 NWS Short Term Weather Forecast
Saturday

Saturday: Sunny
Sunny
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Sunday

Sunday: Sunny
Sunny
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Clear
Clear
Monday

Monday: Sunny
Sunny
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny
Sunny
Hi 48 °F Lo 33 °F Hi 60 °F Lo 38 °F Hi 64 °F Lo 39 °F Hi 64 °F
Version 6.95b - 03-Apr-2019 - Script by: Scott of BurnsvilleWeatherLIVE.com
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