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WESTERN NEW YORK FORECAST SUMMARY Forecast Discussion for BUF NWS Office
SYNOPSIS... A wintry pattern to start the week with below normal
temperatures and brisk winds generating lake effect snow downwind of the
eastern Great Lakes. Favorable areas for accumulating lake snow will be
south of the Lakes through tonight before the flow backs and becomes
northwesterly Tuesday...and then backing further Tuesday night into
Wednesday morning such that a southwest flow will push diminishing lake
snows towards Buffalo and Watertown. Mid to late week warming will change
the bulk of the precipitation back to plain rain as unsettled weather ends
just before the start of the weekend. 

NWS BUF Office Area Forecast Discussion


Todays low temperature of 26.2°F broke the monthly low of 28.2°F set on 11/09/2025 by -2°
Todays low wind chill of 19.4°F broke the monthly low of 22.8°F set on 11/09/2025 by -3.4°
Todays low dew point of 24.8°F broke the monthly low of 27.3°F set on 11/09/2025 by -2.5°
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METRIC | IMPERIAL
Weather Conditions Updated: @ 4:59pm  
Temperature Conditions/Real Time Wind Speed 36 Hour Forecast/WNY Expected Snowfall
Currently:

26.5°F

Trend:Colder 0.7°F than last hour. /hr
Wind Chill   24°F
Humidex   21.0°F
24 Hour +/- -4.9°FColder 4.9°F than yesterday at this time.
---
Today High
28.9°F
12:23 PM
Today Low
26.3°F
7:53 AM
Yest.High
38.1°F
12:01 AM
Yest.Low
28.3°F
11:38 PM
Last Year High
56.1°F
Last Year Low
36.3°F
Station Record High*
76.1°F
2020
Station Record Low*
20.1°F
2017
* This Station's Records Since 1/2010
Dusk, Overcast Dusk, Overcast

Wind from NW NW  
2.7
Gusting to:
3.0
Light Air
Current Snow Total Snowfall Today3:
0.00 in
Chandler Burning Index: LOW Current CBI
Fire Danger:
-2.5 of 100
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Light Snow
Light Snow
Tonight

Tonight: Snow
Snow
Veterans
Day
Veterans Day: Snow
Snow
Hi 30 °F Lo 24 °F Hi 38 °F
WNY Expected Snowfall
 In New Tab
Dew Point Rainfall Rainfall Wind Sock Wind Sun/Moon
Current: Decreased 0.8°F since last hour. 24.8°F
Last Hour: Decreased 0.8°F since last hour. 0.8°F
High 12:15 AM: 27.4°F
Low 4:40 PM: 24.8°F
Record High: 82.4°F on
Jun-19-2024
Record Low: -24.5°F on
Jan-24-2011
Wetbulb: 25.9°F
Rain Today: 0.00 in
Last 24 Hours: 0.01 in
Yesterday: 0.26 in
Previous 7 Days: 0.65 in
Nov Rain: 0.65 in
Nov to Date
  Average:10
0.79 in
Nov to Date
  +/- from Avg:10
Under 0.14 in for the month 0.14 in
Nov Avg: 2.41 in
+/- from Avg: Under 1.762 in for the month 1.76 in
2025 Total: 24.56 in
Year To Date
  Average:11
31.68 in
Year To Date
  +/- from Avg:11
Under 7.12 in for the year 7.12 in
Last Rain
Time/Date:
Nov-9-2025
at 5:17 PM
140 rain days in 2025
5 days in November
0 straight days without rain

rain graph

Current: NW  2.7 mph
Last 15 Min. Avg: 2.3 mph
Last 30 Min. Avg: 3.2 mph
Last 1 Hour Avg: 3.9 mph
Last 2 Hour Avg: 3.8 mph
Todays Wind Run: 36.26 miles
Wind Sock Wind Gust
Current: 3.0 mph
High Last Hour: 10.0 mph NNW
Todays High: 10.4 mph 12:59 PM
November High: 31.0 mph Nov-4
2025 High: 50.1 mph Jan-27
Record Gust: 62.6 mph
Dec-25-2014
Sunlight:
9 hrs 54 min
2 sec
of Sunlight Today
Which is
2 min 22 sec shorter than
yesterday
(Noon) graph (Midnight)

Waning Gibbous
Waning Gibbous, 20 days, 9 hours, 34 minutes in cycle
65%
Illuminated
HumidityHumidity/Feels Like barometerBarometer
Feels Like: 21.0°F
Humidity: No Change 93%
Last Hour +/-: No Change 0%
High 12:00 AM: 96%
Low 12:33 PM: 91%
Record High: 100%
Sep-4-2018
Record Low: 16%
May-10-2022
Current: No Change 1010.8 mb
Last Hour: Steady
High 8:43 AM: 1013.4
Low 3:09 PM: 1010.6
Record High: 1048.1 mb
Dec-14-2024
Record Low: 978.7 mb
Jan-10-2024
Heating Degree Days Snow3 Wind Chill Air
Today: 25.5
Nov: 224.0
2025 to Date: 4727.7
Cooling Degree Days
2025 to Date: 692.2
Today: 0.00 in
Yesterday: 1.80 in
Nov Snow: Over 1.091 in for the month 1.80 in
Nov Avg: 0.71 in
Diff from Avg: 1.09 in
Season Total:2 1.80 in
Snow Depth: 0.00 in
1 snow day in November
1 snow day this season.2
First Snow of Season:
--
Average 1st Snow:
Current: 23.6°F
Low 3:52 PM: 19.4°F
Yesterday: 22.8°F
Record: -26.3°F
Feb-20-2015
Quality
Index6:

28


Good
Density:
1.30 kg/m3
UV Summary/Forecast Solar Summary
Nov-10

1.5
Nov-11

1.4
Nov-12

1.5
Sunrise is at: 7:01 am
Solar Noon: 11:58
Sunset is at: 4:55 pm
Almanac Cloud Height Station All Time Records Outlook
Currently: Afternoon
YTD Avg Temp: 51.7°F
Sunrise: 7:01 am
Sunset: 4:55 pm
Moonrise: 8:48 pm
Moonset: 12:38 pm
Full Moon: Nov-05-2025
New Moon: 06:48 UTC
Nov-20-2025
Cloud Height: 1004 ft
HIGHS: LOWS:
97.7°F
Jul-10-2020
-18.9°F
Jan-24-2011
Daytime Records
  95.5°F
Jul-10-2020
  -1.1°F
Feb-15-2015
Nitetime Records
  80.1°F
Jul-08-2020
  -11.4°F
Jan-24-2014
ICN:1 | S3C2:1 | Ajax 3.xx
ISS:Ok |
Tonight

Tonight: Snow
Snow
1 .   2 Snow season July 1st to June 30th.   3 Snow is manually measured a few times a day as needed 0.01 = a trace .   6 Air Quality Index is provided by Minnesota Polution Control Agency and is updated between the hours of 6AM and Midnight.   10 Historical average only to day 10 of just the month of November for this station since 2010.   11 Historical average rain this season to day 10 of Novemberfor this station since 2010.
 NWS Weather Forecast  -   Outlook This Afternoon & Tonight
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Light Snow
Light Snow

Hi 30 °F
NWS forecast: Snow. Cloudy, with a high near 30. Northwest wind around 12 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
Tonight

Tonight: Snow
Snow

Lo 24 °F
NWS forecast: Snow. Cloudy, with a low around 24. Northwest wind 10 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.
 NWS Short Term Weather Forecast
Veterans
Day
Veterans Day: Snow
Snow
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Snow
Snow
Wednesday

Wednesday: Snow then Light Rain
Snow then Light Rain
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Light Rain Likely
Light Rain Likely
Thursday

Thursday: Chance Light Rain then Chance Rain Showers
Chance Light Rain then Chance Rain Showers
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Slight Chance Rain Showers
Slight Chance Rain Showers
Friday

Friday: Partly Sunny
Partly Sunny
Hi 38 °F Lo 29 °F Hi 42 °F Lo 34 °F Hi 44 °F Lo 32 °F Hi 46 °F
Version 6.95b - 03-Apr-2019 - Script by: Scott of BurnsvilleWeatherLIVE.com
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