| FORECAST DISCUSSION |
705 FXUS61 KBUF 172320 AFDBUF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 620 PM EST Tue Feb 17 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Winter Weather Advisory issued for areas generally north of I-90 to the east of Buffalo for freezing rain potential on Wednesday. Confidence in substantial melting of snow and ice breakup on rivers is now lower due to colder air and less snow/ice melt potential in most areas. |
| IMMEDIATE FORECAST | |
| Tonight Areas Of Fog Lo 31 °F |
Areas of fog before 2am, then areas of fog and a chance of rain showers. Cloudy, with a low around 31. Southeast wind 2 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible. |
| Wednesday Rain then Freezing Rain Hi 34 °F |
A chance of rain showers and patchy fog before 7am, then rain and areas of fog between 7am and 11am, then rain and areas of fog and a slight chance of sleet between 11am and noon, then sleet and freezing rain and areas of fog between noon and 1pm, then freezing rain and areas of fog and a slight chance of snow showers between 1pm and 3pm, then rain and areas of fog between 3pm and 4pm, then freezing rain likely and rain likely and patchy fog between 4pm and 5pm, then a chance of freezing rain and a chance of rain showers and patchy fog. Cloudy, with a high near 34. East wind 10 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible. New ice accumulation of less than half an inch possible. |
| THREE-DAY OUTLOOK | |
| Wednesday Night Chance Snow Showers then Chance Freezing Rain Lo 28 °F |
Thursday Mostly Cloudy Hi 38 °F |
| Thursday Night Chance Light Rain Lo 33 °F |
Friday Light Rain Hi 45 °F |
| Friday Night Light Rain then Chance Rain And Snow Lo 31 °F |
Saturday Chance Rain And Snow Hi 35 °F |