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FORECAST DISCUSSION
343 FXUS61 KBUF 301857 AFDBUF  Area Forecast Discussion National Weather
Service Buffalo NY 257 PM EDT Mon Mar 30 2026  .WHAT HAS CHANGED... A Flood
Watch has been issued for the entire forecast area from Tuesday morning
through Wednesday evening.  The Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms has
expanded to cover a larger portion of Western NY. 

NWS BUF Office Area Forecast Discussion

IMMEDIATE FORECAST
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Slight Chance Rain Showers
Slight Chance Rain Showers
Hi 63 °F
A slight chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 63. Southwest wind around 18 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Tonight

Tonight: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms then Showers And T-Storms
Lo 50 °F
A chance of rain showers before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 11pm, then showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Southwest wind 8 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
THREE-DAY OUTLOOK
Tuesday

Tuesday: Showers And Thunderstorms then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And T-Storms then Chance Showers And T-Storms
Hi 63 °F
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And T-Storms
Lo 40 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Rain Showers Likely
Rain Showers Likely
Hi 45 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Chance Rain And Snow Showers
Chance Rain And Snow Showers
Lo 35 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Rain Showers
Rain Showers
Hi 59 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And T-Storms Likely
Lo 47 °F