Day 4-8 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Day 1 Outlook | Day 2 Outlook | Day 3 Outlook | Days 4-8 Outlook |
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Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook. A depicted severe weather area indicates a 30% or higher probability for severe thunderstorms within 25 miles of a point. |
D4 | Tue, Jan 31, 2023 - Wed, Feb 01, 2023 | D7 | Fri, Feb 03, 2023 - Sat, Feb 04, 2023 |
D5 | Wed, Feb 01, 2023 - Thu, Feb 02, 2023 | D8 | Sat, Feb 04, 2023 - Sun, Feb 05, 2023 |
D6 | Thu, Feb 02, 2023 - Fri, Feb 03, 2023 | (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) |
PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be possible based on some model scenarios. However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt due to:
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POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of organized severe storms appears highly unlikely during the entire period (e.g. less than a 30% probability for a regional severe storm area across the CONUS through the entire Day 4-8 period). |
Images courtesy of the NWS Storm Prediction Center
Forecast Discussion |